Olympia Currency & Global Payments

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It is another quiet Monday for FX markets as traders await crucial data from the USA. Focus will be on progression against inflation for the US and we get a producer price index print tomorrow, and consumer price index on Wednesday. It is expected inflation will remain sticky making it difficult for the US Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates. As of today, a first rate cut is not expected until September. We will get insight into the health of the US consumer with retail sales data Wednesday too. With only a few low impact data releases for Canada this week, the CAD will likely trade in a response to the US data and general market sentiment. Australia will release their employment data overnight Wednesday and may echo the Canadian numbers from Friday showing solid gains. North American stocks are flat ahead of the inflation numbers while oil prices are marginally higher. How will US inflation data impact exchange rates? Contact our team today at http://olympiacgp.com to stay informed and make strategic trading decisions. #MarketTrends #EconomicCalendar #FXMarketUpdate

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Major FX pairs are consolidating to start a quiet US data week. After the US Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, markets are now pricing a first rate cut in September but will be watching both inflation data and employment. With inflation coming down quicker than in the USA, it is expected the Bank of Canada will move on a rate cut in July. This potential policy divergence is creating a difficult environment for the CAD to make meaningful gains despite a positive risk mood and stronger oil prices. We will get central bank updates from Australia later today and the Bank of England on Thursday, and we’ll get Canadian employment data on Friday. The consensus estimate is for strong jobs gains but for the unemployment rate to tick slightly higher.    Stay informed on how interest rates sway exchange rates with our expert team at http://olympiacgp.com. #MarketTrends #EconomicCalendar #FXMarketUpdate

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With no major world events over the weekend, major FX pairs are trading near closing levels seen on Friday ahead of a major data week. Market focus will be on US employment data and a crucial US Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. With US inflation remaining sticky, the probability of interest rate cuts as priced by the market has been falling, and the potential of a Fed ‘pivot’ to more hawkish messaging has been rising. However, with the recent gains in the US dollar already any hawkish pivot may already be somewhat priced in. The US employment data starts with ADP and JOLTS Wednesday, and then BLS numbers Friday. Canada will release monthly GDP numbers on Tuesday, and it is expected to be a small gain, while Bank of Canada Governor Macklem will be testifying before the House of Commons Wednesday and Thursday. North American equities are trading higher today while oil and gold are down.   How will interest rates affect exchange rates? Contact our team today at http://olympiacgp.com. #MarketTrends #EconomicCalendar #FXMarketUpdate

With some very important data prints later in the week, trading in North American financial markets this morning is subdued. Most major currency pairs are near unchanged from Friday’s close. The releases start tomorrow with PMI data from Europe and the US, and inflation data from Australia later in the day. Australian CPI is expected to tick slightly higher which may further reduce expectations of any rate cuts from the RBA. Data will be light this week for Canada, but we do get retail sales numbers on Wednesday. Thursday brings Advance GDP for the USA which if strong, adds more credibility to the higher for longer rates scenario, and a Bank of Japan rate update. Markets will be very focused on Friday’s US Core PCE Price Index print as another gauge of inflation for the US economy. North American stocks are largely unchanged while Oil and Gold are marginally lower.   Contact our team today to stay ahead of the curve at http://olympiacgp.com. #MarketTrends #EconomicCalendar #FXMarketUpdate